LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come into this Saturdays match with announcement successes.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams seem to take over a spot in the race .
The defense of florida leads the solution for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating poor decisions as he went 11 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the greatest launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs around BetNow the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this close? Or will Burrow and win the bet up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the complete breakdown.
Theres hardly any uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the best receiving groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some big games. Chase is a presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitions of LSU: Vanderbilt 128th, Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say they have yet to play a QB of all Burrows standard. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but still has a large ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami about the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be tested.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the newest QB have to enhance his awareness he has to get flustered with an opposing lineup. Auburns ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is the finest in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and can be 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee in the game.
Together with all the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most often regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him would likely be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who let the smallest sum of downs this past year. Though this group is now 69th in passing yards itll be a push if given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game going however. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his way into an 88-yard TD run last weekend. Despite that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and will be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky match.
When they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going regularly, it puts ways pressure on Trask in a hostile environment.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win from LSU from Death Valley, I do see this sport remaining closer than many.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. But LSU is not going to put up 45 or anything close to this. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will wear out over time, as they much too much to modify the tide in matches have been relied on by the team. Marco Wilson will be the subject from Jefferson or the bodily Chase.
But I do not expect this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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