Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets
When Vegas lines aren’t posted it means there are variables which need to be clarified before we can be 100 percent positive in any prediction. Currently, the Nuggets are winning the vast majority of simulations. The projected score is Nuggets 114 and Hornets 112, and Denver is winning 55% of simulations. The moneylines for the sport are Hornets -110 and Nuggets -110. People are betting more intensely on the Hornets based on the way in which the moneyline is shifting. The Hornets have the current head-to-head edge. In such games the Hornets averaged 112 points per match and the Nuggets 108. The disperse would be set by the computer at DEN -2. They have the same ATS records as they do directly up head-to-head. The Hornets are 3-1-0 from the spread. The average point spread in these types of games was Nuggets -2.4 but the Hornets won by an average of 4.5 points.
VEGAS is the expected score based on the point spread and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied likelihood of the money lines corrected for the juice, SIM% is the percent of simulations each group obtained, PAST H2H is that the average score out of current head to head matchups
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